ChainCatcher 消息，美国劳工统计局将于今晚公布 8 月非农就业报告，市场预计新增就业人数仅为 5.6 万人，失业率维持在 4.1%。市场普遍认为，美国就业市场目前处于“稳定但疲弱”状态，就业数据走弱未必直接推动美联储降息，政策焦点仍将集中于通胀走势。
摩根大通交易台预计，若新增就业超过 9.5 万人，标普 500 指数可能下跌 0.5% 至 1.25%；若新增就业仅 5000 至 3.5 万人，标普 500 指数可能上涨 0.25% 至 0.75%。市场预计，本次非农数据将成为影响美联储 9 月政策预期及美股短期走势的重要变量。
美联储近期官员的表态显示，就业市场目前并非政策焦点。美联储理事巴尔本周早些时候称就业形势“稳定”，理事沃勒周四则称就业状况“令人满意”。这种评价并不意味着就业市场表现强劲，却意味着在通胀仍未进一步缓解的情况下，美联储可以考虑加息，同时尽量避免对就业造成冲击。
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