花旗预计印度央行将在2027财年下半年加息50-75个基点

金融界
Sep 01

来源:环球市场播报

花旗集团分析师表示,印度强于预期的经济增长消除了货币政策正常化的一个关键障碍,为本财年下半年加息50-75个基点提供了空间。

花旗表示,10月份的央行会议仍有可能加息,其基准预期将在8月份通胀数据公布后得到确认。

花旗称,鉴于印度4月至6月季度实际GDP增长7.8%,将2027财年实际GDP增长预期上调至7.3%。

报告指出,印度4月至6月实际投资增长率为11.9%,是自2018年底以来除新冠疫情期间波动外最强劲的水平,这再次印证了企业资本支出势头改善的观点。

受不利的基数效应、厄尔尼诺现象以及去年政策刺激措施影响逐渐消退的影响,预计印度2027财年下半年经济增长将从上半年的7.6%放缓至7.1%。

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