美联储主席沃什鹰派讲话后 摩根大通交易员放弃短期内看涨美股的立场

智通财经
Sep 01
【美联储主席沃什鹰派讲话后 摩根大通交易员放弃短期内看涨美股的立场】在美联储主席沃什的鹰派讲话推动市场加大年内加息押注后,摩根大通交易团队放弃了短期内看涨美股的立场,未来几周转为“战术性谨慎”。摩根大通美国市场情报主管Andrew Tyler领导的团队认为利率前景的不确定性构成阻力,因此在美联储9月16日政策会议之前暂时放弃看涨立场。不过,他们预计整体市场仍将保持强韧,因为经济数据和企业盈利等因素提供支撑。沃什上周五在杰克逊霍尔央行年会上表示,通胀压力并未真正缓解。Tyler指出,如果美联储开始加息,交易员将难以判断潜在加息周期的幅度和持续时间。与前任相比,沃什在利率政策方面提供的前瞻指引较少。Tyler周一在给客户的报告中写道:“我们正转向战术性谨慎/中性的观点,也就是说,股市基本面仍然强劲,但短期因素可能令市场横盘震荡。”Tyler认为,利率不确定性、9月季节性偏弱,以及人工智能主题交易动能减弱,都是近期市场面临的压力,并称目前股票净仓位总体处于中性水平。

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