马来亚银行:此次超级厄尔尼诺对泰国的经济冲击或较为温和

格隆汇
Sep 02
马来亚银行经济学家在一份报告中表示,与2015年至2016年上一次超级厄尔尼诺事件相比,此次超级厄尔尼诺对泰国经济和整体通胀的影响可能较为温和。持续时间较长的高温干燥天气将拖累泰国农业部门的产出。不过,经济学家指出,新鲜农产品目前仅占CPI权重的8%,低于2015年至2016年间约10%的水平。他们还指出,泰国经济目前越来越多由电子和数字产业驱动,因此对农业产出下降的敏感度有所降低。马来亚银行预计,泰国2026年和2027年GDP增速分别为2.4%和2.7%,2026年和2027年整体通胀率平均分别为1.6%和1.8%。

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