ChainCatcher 消息，Wintermute 发布市场更新指出，8 月非农数据超预期将加息概率推至近 60%，比特币从 82,400 美元短暂回落但周线仍收涨 3.45% 站上 80,000 美元。比特币 ETF 录得 9.87 亿美元净流入，连续三周为正，累计近 38 亿美元。表明加密市场经受住了鹰派数据考验。
比特币较峰值下跌约 50%，远浅于 2018 年和 2022 年同期 75% 以上的跌幅，反映 ETF 和机构资金更早介入。Wintermute 认为资本正从股票和黄金流入加密资产，构成新周期前提。82,000 美元是需突破的关键水平，72,000 美元是判断趋势改变的位置。CLARITY 法案投票与 CPI 和 FOMC 会议均在下周，Robinhood Chain Gas 补贴 9 月底结束是检验活动持续性的首次测试。若比特币跌破 72,000 美元且 ETF 流出明显转负则需重新评估。
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