Auto & Transport Roundup: Market Talk

Dow Jones
Sep 08

The latest Market Talks covering the Auto and Transport sector. Published exclusively on Dow Jones Newswires at 4:20 ET, 12:20 ET and 16:50 ET.

0807 GMT - European energy stocks trade higher Tuesday morning as oil continues to gain on fears of prolonged supply disruptions in the Middle East. Brent, the global oil benchmark, rises 1.8% to $98.74 a barrel, while WTI futures are up 3.1% to $94.32 a barrel. This pushes Britain's BP up 1.4% and Shell 0.9% higher. Norway's Equinor gains 1.3% and Italy's Eni rises 1.1%. Spain's Repsol climbs 1%.(adam.whittaker@wsj.com)

0748 GMT - Mobico's second-quarter performance update shows a continuation of the key trends seen in its 15-month results. with revenue growth accelerating to 5% and reiterated adjusted operating guidance of 215 million to 230 million pounds, Berenberg analysts Jack Cummings and Luka Trnovsek say. Strength at its ALSA division more than offset a deceleration in the U.K. Coach business, which continues to see revenue declines. Closing the UK Bus sale by November should derisk the business and provide a clear structural catalyst, Berenberg says. "This was an encouraging 2Q update, although we remain at Hold with a 35 pence price target as we await evidence of a sustained turnaround in the UK Coach business and a clear path to deleveraging," the analysts say. Shares are up 1.9% at 23.82 pence. (anthony.orunagoriainoff@dowjones.com)

0739 GMT - HD Korea Shipbuilding & Offshore Engineering is set to benefit from strong growth at its subsidiaries, says Lee Jae-hyuk at LS Securities. The analyst expects the share of higher-end LNG and LPG carriers in the total shipbuilding lineup to expand through 2029 at the South Korean holding company's unlisted local subsidiary HD Hyundai Samho, which posted an industry-leading operating profit margin of 22.5% in 2Q. Lee is also positive about brisk contract wins by the holding company's affiliated overseas shipyards in the Philippines and Vietnam to build tankers. LS maintains a buy rating and 440,000-won target price on the stock. Shares closed 1.4% lower at 346,500 won. (kwanwoo.jun@wsj.com)

0737 GMT - Mobico's second-quarter revenue growth isn't expected to be a major share driver given that operating profit guidance remains unchanged, RBC Capital Markets analysts Ruairi Cullinane and Jakub Glinkowski say in a note. The London-listed transport operator's overall top-line trends are strong and driven by growth at ALSA and German Rail. Still, it continues to face challenges in the U.K., where passenger numbers are down in both Bus and Coach, the analysts say. "We see elevated upside potential in some scenarios, although we think other stocks in the sector offer more attractive risk-reward and trade on larger discounts to long-term average enterprise value valuation multiples," RBC says. Shares are up 2.7% at 24.02 pence. (anthony.orunagoriainoff@dowjones.com)

0648 GMT - Volkswagen's future is far more secure following the unanimous agreement on management's restructuring plans, Citi analysts write. Although not all the plans have been detailed, the agreement highlights a number of important ideas, the bank says. The German automaker has formulated a cost plan, taking account of future downside earnings risks, and has the management and liquidity to achieve this existential restructuring. Eventual execution and EU trading conditions will determine whether there is any upside to group EBIT, the bank adds. "Whilst the operating conditions remain very tough, at least VW has a plan." Citi rates Volkswagen at buy and lifts its target price to 100 euros from 94 euros. Shares closed at 81.25 euros. (dominic.chopping@wsj.com)

0506 GMT - Hyundai Steel could stage an earnings recovery on rising steel prices in the South Korean market, says NH Investment & Securities' Y.K. Choi. Anti-dumping duties on low-cost Chinese imports have led to gradual rises in domestic steel prices, with hot-rolled and cold-rolled products up 26% and 15%, respectively, this year, the analyst writes in a note. Choi expects Hyundai's operating profit to jump 53% in 2026 and 72% in 2027. Stable iron-ore and coal prices could also help the company sustain earnings growth, he adds. NH initiates coverage of the stock with a buy rating and 400,000-won target price. Shares are last 2.9% higher at 33,350 won. (kwanwoo.jun@wsj.com)

0126 GMT - Malaysia oil and gas sector is trading below their historical valuation levels, at 10X forward price-to-earnings, Affin Hwang IB analyst Ong Tze Hern says in a note. However, scope for a broad-based re-rating could remain limited until domestic job flows improve, he says. Near-term oil prices should stay supported by prolonged Middle East disruptions, prompting him to raise 2026 Brent forecast to $85/bbl from $81/bbl. But current oil price strength is unlikely to mark a structural upcycle, with Brent expected at $70/bbl in 2027 as Middle East supply normalizes. Resolving the Petronas-Petros issue and recovering Petronas capital expenditure could be more meaningful catalysts for domestic oil and gas services. Affin Hwang maintains a neutral sector's rating, pegging Dialog and Bumi Armada as top picks. (yingxian.wong@wsj.com)

2219 GMT - Citi is somewhat surprised by Wildcat Infrastructure's engagement with military shipbuilder Austal, which has been weighing a bid by South Korea's Hanwha for its U.S. operations. "From a transaction perspective, Hanwha's effective 19.9% stake (including swap) may represent a significant hurdle to any competing proposal," says analyst Sam Teeger. Still, it's unclear whether Hanwha can vote on a possible Wildcat-led transaction, he adds. Austal yesterday said it held a preliminary discussion with Wildcat, but hasn't received a proposal. Citi expects Hanwha to be the more logical buyer. "If the U.S. administration's objective is to accelerate naval shipbuilding capacity, Hanwha's extensive shipbuilding expertise appears an advantage, albeit with the caveat that its defense experience has largely been in Korea rather than U.S.," Citi says. It has a buy call on Austal. (david.winning@wsj.com; @dwinningWSJ)

1017 GMT - The 1.1% drop in German industrial output in July defies the solid order intake and noticeable recent improvement in business sentiment, KfW chief economist Dirk Schumacher says. "The decline in industrial production can therefore be explained primarily by production changes in the automotive industry," he says. German data agency Destatis noted that a multi-week shutdown at a car plant was likely one of the main drivers of the fall. In August and September, the low water levels of the Rhine likely further dampened production, Schumacher says. However, the signals from orders and sentiment indicators point to the underlying improving trend, even if that will probably only be reflected in the figures for the fourth quarter, he says. (edward.frankl@wsj.com)

0954 GMT - Cathay Pacific's share liquidity has picked up in recent months, supporting broader investor participation, HSBC analysts say in a note. Shareholder-level activities such as buying back shares held by Qatar Airways, have helped realign Cathay's shareholding, expanding its share free float to 31% from 25% previously. This has helped to alleviate the historical overhang from Cathay's concentrated ownership structure, they add. The recent share-price pullback is largely due to renewed concerns over higher fuel prices rather than a deteriorating underlying passenger or cargo outlook, HSBC says. Passenger outlook remains supported by resilient premium travel demand, and Cathay should continue capturing cargo tailwinds from high demand for AI and tech-related goods. HSBC retains a buy rating with a target price of HK$16.50. Shares closed at HK$14.51. (kimberley.kao@wsj.com)

0844 GMT - Short-term fund flows are unlikely to favor Chinese automakers, including BYD, as Beijing could reduce export tax rebates, Citi analysts write in a note. Potential European tariff increases on China EV makers and higher requirements on auto parts localization are weighing on sentiment, they say. Uncertainties on domestic demand and orders in the high season in September and October also weigh, they add. Rising investor sentiment on artificial intelligence might hurt BYD's share price, they add. The market consolidation theme favors opportunities with long cycle of returns, while the market is likely to remain volatile in the short term, Citi says. BYD expects domestic sales to rise by roughly 20,000 units a month on coming flash-charging battery technology, while monthly overseas sales should hold at 180,000 to 200,000 units.(jiahui.huang@wsj.com; @ivy_jiahuihuang)

0834 GMT - China's artificial-intelligence strategy is accelerating investment in infrastructure and broadening AI adoption across related sectors, according to Moody's Ratings in a research note. Infrastructure companies are increasingly participating in China's AI ecosystem as investors, developers and users of AI technologies, it points out. "Applications in power grids, power generation, ports, airports and toll roads are already improving forecasting, dispatch, maintenance and asset utilization, generating measurable operational benefits," it says.

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