9月11日,美国成屋销售环比下降后,黄金仅从低位小幅回升,整体反应有限。ZFX山海证券表示,住房数据偏弱虽能带来增长担忧,但市场焦点仍集中在通胀、能源成本与利率预期,单项数据不足以扭转当日走势。
收益率维持高位,使非生息资产的机会成本继续受到关注。ZFX山海证券认为,金价对利空与利多信息的敏感度并不对称,说明投资者正等待更有分量的数据确认政策路径。
成屋销售可反映高融资成本对需求的影响,但其传导到货币政策需要更多就业和价格指标配合。黄金因此保持区间波动,而非迅速形成新趋势。
接下来若增长数据连续降温且通胀同步放缓,黄金或获得更清晰支撑。ZFX山海证券判断,在信号一致前,短线交易仍可能围绕收益率变化反复调整。
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