【招商证券：美国CPI+FOMC决议的四种情景推演】智通财经APP获悉，招商证券发布研报称，当前市场处于存量博弈阶段，上周ETF流入，融资资金流出，减持和计划减持规模略有下降，二级市场可跟踪资金整体平衡。未来一周美国将公布的通胀数据和9月议息会议可能成为短期市场决断的关键，将共同决定短期美债利率、美元和全球风险偏好的方向。如果核心CPI环比低于或符合预期，美联储大概率维持利率不变，靴子落地；如果通胀超预期回升，加息将成为更为顺畅的政策选择，短期压制后将给市场带来配置机会。
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