金吾财讯 | 9月11日消息,汽油价格结束连续两月回落、出现反弹,推动美国8月CPI加速上行,市场对美联储下周加息预期快速升温。美国劳工统计局数据显示,8月CPI环比上涨0.4%,7月为0.1%;CPI同比涨幅维持3.4%。季调后核心CPI环比0.3%,高于市场预期的0.2%。此前周四公布的8月PPI数据同样走强,多项关键分项走高,相关数据会纳入PCE通胀测算。叠加8月非农就业数据亮眼,进一步推升加息预期;CPI落地后,市场定价美联储下周加息概率约90%。部分经济学家认为,对加拿大等贸易伙伴加征进口关税,将持续带来物价上行压力。物价,特别是汽油、食品价格的上涨,拖累相关支持率,或将令共和党在11月中期选举失去国会控制权。美联储主席沃什上月表态,如果没有充分证据证明通胀正朝着2%目标回落,美联储仍需继续采取紧缩政策。
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