美银:土耳其10月降息后,利率或将维持至2027年4月

环球市场播报
Sep 11

  美银证券经济学家汉德·库楚克预计,土耳其央行在下月完成一次潜在降息后,将维持利率不变直至2027年4月。

  库楚克预测,若9月通胀无超预期上行、油价不再继续上涨,10月将从37%的水平降息100个基点。

  美银预测9月月度通胀为2.1%。

  她在9月10日的研报中写道:“11月与12月基数效应的支撑作用或将减弱,市场届时将开始关注2027年初的年终薪资调整。”

  美银预测,土耳其年末政策利率为36%,通胀29.5%。

  2027年末政策利率32%,通胀26%。

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