德意志银行预计土耳其2027年末政策利率为30%

智通财经
Sep 11
【德意志银行预计土耳其2027年末政策利率为30%】德意志银行经济学家耶伊特·奥纳伊表示,预计土耳其央行今年将实施两次降息,政策利率将从当前37%下调至35%。他在9月10日发布的研报中称,能源价格不确定性仍是一项重大风险,给通胀走势增添变数。2027年上半年,有利的基数效应将助力通胀快速回落。“这有望推动年度通胀在2027年年中降至约26.5%”,并为二季度末降息至31.5%创造空间。假设选举按计划于2028年上半年举行,该行预测2027年末通胀为25%,政策利率为30%。

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