诺奖得主阿吉翁:AI有望使生产率增速每年提高1.08个百分点 超过IT革命

智通财经
Sep 10
【诺奖得主阿吉翁:AI有望使生产率增速每年提高1.08个百分点 超过IT革命】在2026 Inclusion·外滩大会上,诺贝尔经济学奖得主、法国经济学家菲利普·阿吉翁表示,AI有望在未来十年使生产率增速每年额外提高约1.08个百分点,潜在影响或超过IT革命;但这种技术潜力能否转化为持续增长,取决于竞争政策、教育体系和劳动力市场制度能否同步跟上。“0.68个百分点只是一个下限。”如果进一步考虑AI促进新想法产生的作用,阿吉翁认为,生产率增速每年还可能额外提高至少约0.4个百分点,合计潜在提升约1.08个百分点。但他也提醒,技术突破并不会自动转化为持续增长。“AI确实具有很大的增长潜力,但能否充分释放,也取决于能否处理好竞争问题。”

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