机构:欧洲央行本月加息几成定局 政策基调与后续路径成关键

格隆汇
Sep 10
Aberdeen经济学家Felix Feather表示,欧洲央行本月加息“几乎已成定局”,并补充称,更重要的问题在于,欧洲央行的措辞是否会向市场暗示,此次加息只是一个持续紧缩周期的下一步。“欧洲央行的表态很可能偏鹰派,”Feather表示。“欧元区经济展现出的韧性超出了欧洲央行的预期,而高企的能源价格、更强劲的前瞻性工资指标以及略微升高的市场通胀预期,将使政策制定者继续关注上行风险。”Feather指出,由于战争对经济造成的冲击比预期更为有限,欧洲央行可能会上调经济增长预测,但他同时表示,在周四会议之后,利率“仍有可能在2.5%的水平上维持较长时间”。他表示,“核心通胀指标持续回落,工资压力仍相对可控,且目前仅有零星迹象表明能源冲击正在引发广泛的二次影响。不过,这可能需要美国和伊朗缓和中东局势以稳定能源市场,而目前看来这种情况似乎尚无实现的迹象。”

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Most Discussed

  1. 1
     
     
     
     
  2. 2
     
     
     
     
  3. 3
     
     
     
     
  4. 4
     
     
     
     
  5. 5
     
     
     
     
  6. 6
     
     
     
     
  7. 7
     
     
     
     
  8. 8
     
     
     
     
  9. 9
     
     
     
     
  10. 10