道明证券放弃按兵不动的预测 目前料美联储9月起将总计加息三次

环球市场播报
Sep 11

专题:美国8月CPI月率3.4% 市场加息预期升温

  道明证券策略师周五表示,他们预计美联储将在9月启动本轮三次加息中的第一次,此前他们的预测是2026年余下时间央行按兵不动。

  包括Oscar Munoz和Gennadiy Goldberg在内的策略师在周五发布的研报中写道:“我们预计本轮周期总共将加息三次,后两次升息将在10月和明年1月进行。美联储可能不会提供前瞻指,但点阵图应会偏鹰”。

  这一预期调整发生在周五公布的美国8月CPI高于预期后。该数据促使交易员提高了对美联储近期加息的预期。

  上述策略师在报告中写道:“在8月CPI显示通胀缺乏进展后,我们预计美联储将在9月启动加息周期”。

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