【欧洲央行自伊朗冲突爆发后再度加息，通胀风险仍存】欧洲央行迎来自2月伊朗战争爆发以来的第二次加息，以此应对通胀将持续显著高于2%的信号。周四，存款利率上调25个基点至2.5%，调查显示几乎所有经济学家都做出了该预期。欧洲央行重申，不会预先承诺后续政策举措，将根据陆续出炉的数据，逐次会议做出决策。欧洲央行在声明中表示：“中东冲突持续带来通胀压力，通胀将在较长一段时间内显著高于目标水平。前景仍存在高度不确定性，通胀存在上行风险，经济增长存在下行风险。”周四的此次加息，让欧元区政策制定者在应对能源价格暴涨方面，行动领先于其他同行。本轮能源涨价催生了近三年来最高的通胀水平。交易员预计欧洲央行还将继续加息，市场定价显示到2027年年中会再有两次加息。这与美联储、英国央行形成反差。后两者尚未因中东战事收紧货币政策，且下周大概率维持政策不变。
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