高盛:农产品价格上行风险恐被低估

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【高盛:农产品价格上行风险恐被低估】高盛全球投资研究部分析师Lina Thomas与Daan Struyven表示,霍尔木兹海峡航运受阻、黑海局势再度紧张与一场可能创历史纪录的超强厄尔尼诺正同时来袭,日益抬头的贸易保护主义可能放大这些冲击,而食品价格上涨最终或许会演变为利率问题。 高盛测算,若各国设限导致市场割裂、有效市场规模缩小一半,同样的供应冲击对价格的影响将翻倍。这正是高盛认为农产品上行风险远高于库存水平所反映程度的原因。

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