调查:韩国央行年底将再度加息至3.25%

环球市场播报
Sep 15

  彭博调查的预估中值显示,市场预计韩国央行将在第四季度上调政策利率25个基点至3.25%。

  市场预计2027年二季度将再加息25个基点,政策利率升至3.50%。

  2026年国内生产总值同比增速上调至3.4%,此前预期为3.3%。

  2027年国内生产总值同比增速上调至2.5%,此前预期为2.3%。

  2026年居民消费价格指数同比维持2.7%不变。

  2026年出口增速维持9.2%不变;2027年出口增速上调至4.5%,此前预期为3.4%。

  渣打银行Chong Hoon Park 表示,半导体繁荣正持续提振居民收入、消费与公共财政,支持加快紧缩政策。不过通胀预期仍可控,同时全球金融环境收紧构成制约。

  本次调查于9月8日至9月14日开展。

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