能源成本飙升或使英国明年通胀突破4% 达央行目标两倍

格隆汇
2 hours ago
机构经济研究称,由于伊朗战争推高批发电力和天然气价格,英国家庭能源账单预计将在1月跃升约25%,进一步加剧整体经济的通胀压力。预测显示,能源成本上升意味着英国明年通胀可能升至4%以上,是英国央行目标的两倍。预测还显示,能源价格上限——监管机构Ofgem对供应商可向家庭收取费用的限制——预计将上涨约427英镑,使普通家庭年度账单升至约2150英镑。这将使账单接近政府2022年俄乌冲突后引入的2500英镑上限。当时市场价格高得多,但政府补贴了差额,使典型家庭只需支付上限金额。这项支持耗资政府约210亿英镑。政府目前正在考虑进一步措施,包括将150英镑的“温暖家庭折扣”扩大到目前不符合资格的人群,可能包括一些残疾人、护理人员和养老金领取者。此类措施可能在10月预算中宣布,并在冬季生效。

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