高盛:布鲁可给予“中性”评级 目标价72.40港元

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  高盛发布研报称,其覆盖的中国IP零售商及玩具公司2026年上半年及第二季度业绩好坏参半,名创优品(09896)盈利偏软,布鲁可(00325)销售则强于预期。给予布鲁可“中性”评级,目标价72.4港元;给予名创优品H股“买入”评级,目标价29.3港元。该行预计下半年中国IP/玩具需求维持韧性,但增长将因更高基数而放缓,海外趋势更趋分化。

  该行指出,名创优品内地销售强于预期,但海外分销商销售偏弱及经营去杠杆拖累利润率。布鲁可收入高于该行预期6%,受组装车模玩具及海外销售带动,但毛利率受到模具折旧、新产品爬坡及9.9元人民币价值带占比上升等因素拖累。

  高盛预计,下半年中国IP/玩具需求维持韧性,但增长将因更高基数而放缓。海外趋势更趋分化,布鲁可因渗透率低而增长能见度较强;名创优品则优先关注库存健康、门店生产力及盈利能力,而非快速扩张。毛利率仍是关键争论点,物流、采购及产品/地区组合或制约毛利率,布鲁可或有较佳规模效应,但海外供应链投资仍是抵销因素。

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