【券商聚焦】国信证券维持江南布衣(03306)优于大市评级 指公司盈利质量高

金吾财讯
Yesterday

金吾财讯 | 国信证券发布研报指,江南布衣(03306)2026财年业绩稳健增长,收入同比增长9.0%至60.46亿元,归母净利润同比增长11.7%至9.97亿元。收入增长主要得益于线上渠道增长,毛利率同比提升1.0个百分点至66.6%,主因线上渠道折扣管控、商品结构化优化及新品占比提升;归母净利率同比提升0.3个百分点至16.5%。经营性现金流净额同比增长26.5%至14.33亿元,净现比达1.44。公司拟派末期股息每股1.06港元、特别股息每股0.75港元,叠加中期股息每股0.52港元,合计每股2.33港元,分红率达110%。分渠道看,线上收入同比增长20.5%至14.48亿元;线下自营和经销收入分别同比增长10.7%和1.3%至22.99亿元和22.99亿元,可比同店销售同比增长2.4%。自营、经销、线上渠道毛利率分别为73.2%、60.3%、66.4%,同比分别变动-0.7、+1.5、+2.4个百分点。分品牌看,主品牌收入同比增长7.6%,占比53.6%;成长品牌收入同比增长7.1%,占比38.5%;新兴品牌收入同比增长32.2%,占比7.9%;成熟、成长、新兴品牌毛利率分别同比变动+1.3、+2.0、-2.7个百分点。国信证券认为,公司品牌力、产品创新、渠道运营和供应链优势显著,盈利能力强、盈利质量高,现金流充裕,保持较高派息比率。基于26财年业绩表现好于预期,上调盈利预测,预计FY2027-2029年净利润分别为10.7/11.3/11.8亿元,同比分别增长7.1%/5.6%/4.7%。维持“优于大市”评级,上调目标价至23.4-28.1港元,对应FY2027 10-12倍PE。风险提示方面关注宏观经济大幅下行、市场竞争加剧、品牌形象受损及系统性风险。

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