【券商聚焦】长江证券维持中国财险(02328)买入评级 指承保与投资驱动利润增长

金吾财讯
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金吾财讯 | 长江证券发布研报指,中国财险(02328)发布2026年中报,实现净利润322.84亿元人民币,同比增长32.0%;综合成本率94.0%,同比下降0.8个百分点;拟派发中期股息每股0.34元人民币,同比增长41.7%。该行维持“买入”评级。承保与投资共同驱动利润增长。上半年承保利润153.76亿元人民币,同比增长18.1%;总投资收益273.59亿元人民币,同比增长58.5%。费用率明显改善,综合费用率同比下降0.9个百分点至22.1%,综合赔付率上升0.1个百分点至71.9%,费用管控是成本率下降的主要来源,直销能力、规模效应与精细化管理支撑承保优势。分险种看,车险综合成本率同比下降0.7个百分点至93.5%,承保利润增长13.6%至99.17亿元人民币;意健险综合成本率下降2.8个百分点至99.0%,承保利润较上年同期扭亏;企业财产险COR下降3.5个百分点至86.6%;农险COR上升4.2个百分点至92.6%,承保利润下降41.1%;责任险COR为103.1%,费用率同比下降2.6个百分点,非车险综合治理成效显现。投资端方面,上半年未年化总投资收益率3.8%,同比提升1.2个百分点。上市股票占比较年初提升0.1个百分点至11.4%,基金占比提升1.5个百分点至6.6%;受卖出永续债影响,权益类投资总占比下降1.1个百分点至26.8%。偿付能力方面,6月末综合、核心偿付能力充足率分别为237.2%、213.8%,较年初提升4.8个百分点、0.4个百分点。该行认为,公司依托规模、直销与精细化管理优势,长期承保盈利保持稳定;非车险报行合一有望带动行业费用改善,看好资产负债两端改善带来的盈利增长及估值修复空间。风险提示包括行业政策大幅调整、权益市场大幅波动及利率大幅下行。

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