【中信建投:加息预期充分定价,黄金有望触底回升】中信建投研报称,美国公布8月CPI数据,整体CPI符合预期,核心CPI超预期,但通胀走强主要来自一次性服务扰动,持续升温的可能性偏低。数据落地后,9月加息概率升至87%,近端加息预期基本打满,触发利空落地交易,黄金先跌后涨。展望未来,市场已充分定价近端加息预期,只要美联储不释放持续加息信号,黄金利空出尽后有望触底回升:9月加息,则属于靴子落地;若不加息,短期利率压力缓解与黄金的信用对冲有望形成共振,支撑金价回升。
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