Wintermute:BTC ETF 6 月来首现净流出,市场静待美联储加息决议

链捕手
Yesterday

ChainCatcher 消息,据 Wintermute OTC 交易员 @Jjay_dm 撰文,BTC ETF 出现 4.63 亿美元净流出,为 6 月低点以来首次负值,其中 ARK 与 Grayscale 合计流出 3.71 亿美元,贝莱德持平。受此影响,BTC 全周下跌 4.4%,收于 76,838 美元,成为表现最差资产,而以太坊跌 1.5%,山寨币整体上涨 1%。

宏观层面,美国 8 月 CPI 环比录得 0.4%(核心 0.3%),高于预期的 0.2%,PPI 年率达 5.4%,促使高盛将 9 月预测从“按兵不动”改为“加息”,市场对周三加息 25bp 的概率已升至 87%。与此同时,中东局势持续升温,布伦特原油突破 105 美元/桶,10 年期美债收益率创 20 年新高。

Wintermute 表示,在 ETF 资金流出转负后,倾向于对市场持中性而非偏多立场。本周两大关键节点:①周二美国参议院就《CLARITY Act》(加密市场结构法案)进行程序投票,需 60 票通过;②周三美联储宣布加息决议,加息本身已被定价,但后续鹰派表态(尤其是关于 2027 年一季度持续加息的信号)或对加密市场构成下行压力。

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