Willy Woo:比特币大概率已触底,牛市持续时间未知

链捕手
3 hours ago

ChainCatcher 消息,加密分析师 Willy Woo 发文表示,“个人认为加密市场触底的概率为 90%。基于长期投资者流动性正在回归,目前处于早期牛市结构。判断的核心是 BTC 的流动性结构;有意避开历史周期规律,尽管这些周期规律迄今为止在判断市场底部方面表现非常出色。按照周期规律进行判断,其他分析师的共识概率约为 40%。

从流动性结构来看,目前属于早期牛市,市场底部大概率已经出现。如果这个判断正确,那么接下来还有一个问题:这轮牛市究竟会持续多久?会持续 3 年吗?我并不一定会押注这一点,因为历史周期规律正在逐渐失效。只要投资者资金流入没有明显走弱,牛市结构就会持续,但持续时间目前无法确定。”。

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