汇丰:美联储今年将加息两次,撤销维持利率不变的预判

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【汇丰:美联储今年将加息两次,撤销维持利率不变的预判】汇丰银行预计美联储将在9月与12月各加息25个基点,一改此前维持利率不变的观点。美国经济学家王瑞恩在研报中写道,8月就业数据与消费者物价指数均超出汇丰预期,该行目前认为联邦公开市场委员会将在9月15日至16日的会议上投票加息25个基点。此举将把联邦基金利率目标区间上调至3.75%-4%。“我们认为联邦公开市场委员会最新点阵图的2026年末利率预期中值或将达到4.125%,这表明倾向于在后续两场会议,即10月27日至28日以及12月8日至9日中的一场,再加息25个基点。”

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