【调查：日本央行大概率将于本周加息至1.25%】一项调查显示，受通胀压力影响，日本央行大概率将在为期两日的会议于周五落幕时，把利率上调至1.25%。 此次加息意味着紧缩周期提速，快于日本央行自2024年3月启动货币政策正常化以来一直遵循的半年一次加息节奏。日本央行上一次加息是在6月。 约89%的受访经济学家预计央行将加息25个基点，理由包括通胀走高、薪资上涨以及来自美国政府方面的压力。 受伊朗冲突推高能源成本影响，日本7月整体通胀率达到1.9%，为本年内最高水平。同月，日本实际薪资同比上涨2.4%，连续第七个月实现增长。 野村综合研究所首席经济学家、前日本央行政策委员会委员木内登英表示：“特朗普政府实际上已经限制了高市早苗政府阻挠日本央行加息的任何潜在动作。因此，日本央行获得了推进加息的自主空间。”
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