LPL Financial的分析师Adam Turnquist在一份报告中指出,从历史来看,股市通常能够平稳度过在长期暂停调整利率后转向财政紧缩的过渡期。他表示,事实上,当美联储在暂停前曾降息时,市场表现尤为理想。Turnquist指出,在上述情况下,标普500指数在暂停后的首次加息后的12个月内平均回报率为7.8%,而对比此前先加息再暂停的时期,该指数的平均回报率仅为0.8%。在此次最新一轮维持利率不变之前,美联储曾于去年12月降息,而这一轮按兵不动预计将于今天晚些时候以加息告终。
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