【德国经济研究所：德下半年经济增长势头将放缓】德国经济研究所9月20日发布秋季经济预测，将德国2026年经济增长预期从此前的0.4%大幅上调至1.2%。该研究所表示，上调预期主要得益于今年上半年经济增长出人意料地强劲。不过，德国经济研究所预计，“2026年下半年增长势头将再次放缓”。原因在于特殊出口优惠政策将到期，高昂的能源价格将抑制私人消费，主要受政府投资驱动的建筑业危机将持续存在。该研究所预计，德国经济2027年增长略低于1%。该机构同时警告，俄乌冲突、中东局势、国际贸易冲突以及欧洲主要河流水位下降等因素，都可能对德国经济造成负面影响。此外，受能源价格上涨等因素影响，德国经济研究所预计，2026年德国的通货膨胀率将略高于2.5%，而消费预计仅增长0.3%。
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