荷兰国际:能源价格冲击或促使美联储与欧央行 12 月各加息 25 个基点

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【荷兰国际:能源价格冲击或促使美联储与欧央行 12 月各加息 25 个基点】荷兰国际集团策略师预计,美联储与欧洲央行将在 12 月各加息 25 个基点,政策制定者意在阻止能源价格上涨传导至更广范围的通胀。由卡斯滕・布热斯基牵头的策略师团队在周五研报中写道,两家央行正面临 “能源价格飙升引发的供给侧冲击,目前该冲击对整体经济的连锁影响尚且有限”。他们预测,欧央行将实施一次 “防御性加息”,利率升至 2.75%;美联储加息至 4.25%,美国央行将更聚焦于把通胀拉回 2% 的目标。

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