机构:英国央行为11月可能的加息敞开大门

格隆汇
Sep 17
分析师Suren Thiru和英格兰及威尔士特许会计师协会(ICAEW)指出,尽管英国央行委员们意见仍存在分歧,但鹰派情绪似乎正在增强。央行以6票赞成、3票反对的投票结果将基准利率维持在3.75%,“以平衡伊朗战争引发的能源冲击带来的通胀影响,以及目前尚无证据表明其正在助长更持久、遍及整个经济的物价压力”。 不过,Thiru指出,会议纪要显示通胀担忧日益加剧,这意味着11月加息的可能性已大幅上升。“虽然今年政策仍可能维持不变,但美伊之间持续的敌对状态意味着加息的风险已从一种可能性转变为一种概率。”Thiru表示,下月政府预算案对通胀的影响将成为央行的一项关键考量因素。

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