DoubleLine的Gundlach警告:下一次美国经济衰退可能引发财政危机

格隆汇
2 hours ago
DoubleLine Capital首席执行官Jeffrey Gundlach警告称,下一次美国经济衰退可能会引发债务危机,导致长期国债收益率大幅上升 —— 这将与数十年来的传统观念相悖,即所谓债券在经济困境时期可以充当避风港。这种情况可能会促使美联储和财政部采取非常规政策,例如再来一次扭转操作央行购买长期债券,甚至进行债务重组。他表示,他正专注于低久期资产,以保护Doubleline的基金免受利率进一步上升的影响。“如果出现经济衰退,财政状况将会受到极大的关注。”Gundlach在纽约的活动上说道,“预算赤字很容易达到GDP的12%。那将导致每年3万亿美元的利息支出,这是绝对不能接受的。”

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