据 Woofun AI 消息，比特币在美联储实施 25 基点加息后，价格锚定于 76,000 美元区间呈现横盘震荡态势，市场正逐步消化这一宏观政策冲击。
交易员群体对周期演变存在显著分歧。KillaXBT 判断 BTC 在 2026 年难以触及 10 万美元，预计将以吸筹和区间震荡为主，该关口或延后至明年突破。Jelle 指出传统四年周期正在瓦解，若 10 月未创新低，熊市将显著缩短且跌幅收窄。Rekt Capital 基于历史约 365 天熊市时长，认为下行周期已近尾声。
Woofun AI 整理数据显示，多方观点聚焦于周期压缩与价格阻力位的博弈。
宏观风险方面，彼得·希夫警告持续通胀可能推高美国财政部债券收益率至 6% 以上，进而压制股票与 BTC 表现，同时增强黄金吸引力。传统资产联动效应加剧了加密市场的波动不确定性。
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