中金:不排除美联储进一步加息的可能性,但最终是否加息、何时加息,仍取决于经济数据

格隆汇
4 hours ago
中金公司研报认为,美联储9月加息25个基点,整体基调较市场预期更为鹰派。决策以12比0全票通过,点阵图暗示年内或再加息一次。官员们上调增长、下调失业率预测,并认为通胀回落需更长时间。沃什在记者会上将通胀列为主要矛盾,释放了明确的抗通胀信号。往前看,不排除美联储进一步加息的可能性,但最终是否加息、何时加息,仍取决于经济数据。市场反应上,两年期收益率上行、30年期走平,曲线平坦化,美元上涨、黄金下跌。这表明市场对于美联储遏制通胀的信心有所增强,此前因政策不确定性而形成的风险溢价有望下降,有利市场稳定。

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