专题：美联储如期加息25基点 点阵图显示鹰派倾向增强
几个方面看，美联储此次利率决定偏向“鹰派”：一是全体一致投票加息，（此前有人预计会出现反对票）；二是点阵图预计今年还会再加息一次，这一点基本符合预期；三是预计明年利率维持不变，这一点总体上并不完全符合预期，不过各方预测本来就相当分散。美联储对2028年利率和长期利率的预测也高于此前预估，其中长期利率预测上调至3.25%，为2016年以来最高。
总体而言，我认为市场共识倾向于这样一种看法：即从维护美联储公信力的角度看，偏鹰派的结果反而最有利于债券市场，最初的市场反应似乎也印证了这一判断。股市目前有些懵，但如果市场认为美联储正在恢复信誉，股市应该也会表现不错。
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