【券商聚焦】长江证券维持名创优品(09896)买入评级 指国内基本盘稳固

金吾财讯
6 hours ago

金吾财讯 | 长江证券发布研报指,名创优品(09896)2026Q2收入同比增长17.0%至人民币58.1亿元,经调整营业利润(剔除汇兑)同比下降3.3%至人民币7.9亿元,经调整净利润(剔除汇兑)同比下降10.5%至人民币5.9亿元。收入端,2026Q2名创国内、海外、TOPTOY收入分别同比增长22.9%、9.1%、16.9%。2026H1内地名创收入增长26.2%,为三年来最高上半年增速;海外增速阶段性放缓,主因代理市场补库意愿放缓,上半年海外同店低个位数下降,但北美收入同比增长37.0%,同店中个位数增长。盈利端,Q2毛利率同比提升1.0个百分点至45.3%,受益关税退税约1.2个百分点。剔除股份支付费用的销售费用率同比提升3.8个百分点至27.0%,为净利率下降主因。经调整净利率(剔除汇兑)10.1%,同比下降3.1个百分点;Q2汇兑亏损0.60亿元,经调整净利润同比下降23.7%;受人工智能行业有限合伙投资公允价值变动损失约5.97亿元非现金影响,Q2表观亏损2.92亿元。业务端,国内大店矩阵持续扩张;海外Q2进入瑞士,全球覆盖113个国家及地区;YOYO于2026年6月及7月月销售额均突破1亿元;内地会员数同比增长31.0%至约1.30亿名,贡献当地销售额77.4%,美国会员数同比增长107.1%至约580万名,贡献60.1%。研报预计公司2026-2028年经调整净利润分别为人民币23.4、28.7、32.1亿元,认为国内基本盘稳固,大店及闪电仓驱动增长;海外代理市场调改顺利后有望恢复,直营效率提升与商品改善释放盈利;国际+自有IP矩阵深化品牌与IP运营壁垒。研报维持“买入”评级。风险提示:品牌升级转化不及预期、行业竞争加剧、拓店进展不及预期、关税政策持续波动。

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