农业股承压 万洲国际(00288)跌1.35% 小摩料厄尔尼诺效应对农业影响将于27年初明显加剧

金吾财讯
Sep 22

金吾财讯 | 港股农业股集体走低,截至发稿,万洲国际(00288)跌1.35%,中国心连心化肥(01866)跌1.11%,中化化肥(00297)跌1.20%,第一拖拉机股份(00038)跌0.80%。消息面上,摩根大通发布研报称,日益增强的厄尔尼诺现象正与全球柴油及化肥短缺形成叠加效应,预计对农业生产的最大冲击将于2027年第一季度显现。摩根大通农业大宗商品主管Tracey Allen在研报中指出,厄尔尼诺效应对农业生产的影响目前尚处初期,但预计将在明年年初明显加剧。他援引美国国家海洋和大气管理局的预测称,厄尔尼诺将在11月前后达到峰值,且有90%的概率演变成贯穿北半球秋冬季的“极强厄尔尼诺”。

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