欧洲央行调查:中东冲突推升欧元区企业成本预期,贸易商与中小企业承压最深

智通财经
Sep 22
【欧洲央行调查:中东冲突推升欧元区企业成本预期,贸易商与中小企业承压最深】欧洲央行2026年二季度企业融资状况调查显示,中东冲突对欧元区企业预期形成明显扰动:净79%企业预计未来12个月投入成本上涨,净58%预计售价走高,净 43% 预计工资上行;净 40% 企业利润预期转负。风险敞口上,贸易行业、出口商与中小企业受冲击最重:35%中小企业在10分制评分中给出7分以上,大企业仅28%。企业就业增长预期由战前一季度的1.4%降至二季度的1.0%。约三分之二企业已启动应对:36%寻找替代供应商,31%加码能效投资,29%更换能源渠道。美伊6月中旬谅解备忘录对企业预期影响有限,7 月初海上袭击重启后地缘风险仍在持续。

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