巴克莱:中东石油供应复苏遇阻,油市供需平衡前油价或再飚五成

格隆汇
Sep 22
巴克莱发表研报指,本月较早时沙特阿拉伯东西向输油管道中断,凸显中东石油产量持续缓慢复苏面临的风险。该行警告,若当前局势持续,在石油市场恢复供需平衡前,国际油价有可能较现水平进一步上涨约50%。鉴于中东局势发展及需求端对高油价的反应,目前其油价预测面临的风险偏向上行。巴克莱预测,布伦特期油将在2026年第四季达到每桶95美元,随后四个季度分别为每桶90美元、85美元、85美元及80美元。

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