巴克莱:在石油市场恢复平衡前 油价或上涨50%

智通财经
Sep 22

智通财经APP获悉,巴克莱表示,本月较早时沙地输油管道中断显示出中东石油产量面临持续缓慢复苏的风险,如果目前形势持续下去,在市场恢复平衡前,油价有可能上涨50%。

国际油价今早(9月22日)上升,布兰特期油及纽约期油各升约1%,分别报每桶101.36美元及96.65美元。

巴克莱称,库存及消费指标显示价格在供求趋于平衡前还有一段距离,虽然目前来自中东的净供应损失估计为每日470万桶,远低于伊朗战争初期的每日1,200万至1,300万桶,但目前的库存缓冲亦小得多。因此,预计布兰特期油将在第四季达到每桶95美元,在接下来的四个季度分别为每桶90美元、85美元、85美元及80美元。

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