凤凰国际财闻汇 | 油价跌至102美元，特朗普放话“随时夷平伊朗”

凤凰网港股

Sep 21

跌幅在扩大

周一（9月21日）的油市，给出了这轮战争以来最坚决的一次回落。布伦特11月期货跌1.66%至102.15美元，WTI 10月合约跌1.83%至98.46美元——美国原油已跌回100美元下方。支撑价盘的依然是那组数据：摩根大通在9月18日的报告里写道，尽管沙特东西管道遇袭，“中东石油流量异常强劲”——过去10天均值1710万桶/日，仅比2025年均值低610万桶。

总统的战争倒计时

但同一天，另一股力量在把油价往回拽。特朗普在福克斯新闻采访中放话：自己正处于“决定模式”，关于美伊战争，“非常大的事情即将发生”。更刺耳的是这句：“我的问题是，要不要、什么时候把整个国家夷为平地？他们最好老实点。”供应在恢复，火药味也在升级——两个方向的力量，在同一张K线上角力。

回落的软肋

资本集团Sky Links的塔基丁点破了这轮下跌的命门：油价将紧盯两个变量——出口正常化的节奏，与外交进展的成色。“任何航运条件的再度恶化，都会立刻收紧实物市场、把价格重新推上去。”换句话说，102美元不是休战模式，只是停火间隙——流量数据撑起来的平静，脆弱得容不下一次新的袭击。

市场现在赌的是供应链的韧性；而总统的采访提醒所有人：牌桌上还有另一只手，随时可以掀桌。（国际财闻汇）

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