金吾财讯 | 据报道,美国10年期国债收益率(US10Y)现已超过独栋住宅租赁资本化率。Reventure App首席执行官Nick Gerli表示,这一现象意味着购置投资性房产的机会成本转负。Nick Gerli称,美债收益率持续走高彻底改变了房产投资的相对吸引力。过去四年,美国投资购房人数及楼市投资规模均下滑50%,并已对部分地区房价形成明显冲击。历史数据显示,2009年至2020年代初期,美国租房资本化率长期高于美债收益率,利差虽有波动但始终维持正向,两大指标在2025至2026年逐步收敛,最终在今年9月完成趋势反转,无风险美债收益正式超越房产租赁现金流回报。
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