ETF异动 | 南方两倍做多黄金(07299)跌超4% 国际金价持续下跌 当前加息预期更为鹰派定价

智通财经
Sep 28

智通财经APP获悉,南方两倍做多黄金(07299)跌超4%,截至发稿,跌3.78%,报21.88港元,成交额1897.36万港元。

消息面上,截至9月28日,现货黄金持续下跌,盘中跌幅扩大至逾2%,失守4200美元关口。据芝加哥商品交易所(CME)数据,市场对美联储10月加息25个基点的概率预期一度升至64.8%。机构分析明确指出,美国10年期收益率飙升至5%以上是黄金等零收益资产承压的主要原因。

南华期货认为,中期看,贵金属估值端压力已较充分释放,年内低点或已形成。此前贵金属回踩已定价美联储至明年年中加息2.5次的偏鹰预期。当前加息预期更为鹰派定价下金银明显抗跌,一方面受央行购金支撑,另一方面投资需求并未再次显著流出。整体看,加息预期交易已趋拥挤,后续通胀上行风险主要来自地缘驱动的油价。预期黄金回调压力有限,短期若回调仍可视为逢低买入机会。

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