受英国预算对冲需求推动 英镑波动率创两个月新高

环球市场播报
Sep 28

  月期期权的到期时间覆盖10月28日英国预算公布时点,期权定价已开始计入该事件风险。

  该期限英镑兑美元隐含波动率最高上行47个基点至5.96%,为7月29日以来最高,随后涨幅收窄;相对期限溢价显示,期权交易价格较已实现波动率高出约77个基点。

  风险逆转指标小幅收窄,但仍偏向美元,利差为81个基点。

  存托信托与清算公司(DTCC)9月数据显示,交易员已开始针对英国预算相关风险建立头寸,但规模尚不算大。

  本月迄今为止,仅有约6%的名义总成交集中在到期窗口覆盖预算公布当周及之后一周的期权。

  但该部分头寸中,看空英镑的占比达67%,而全部样本中看空英镑占比为55%,表明事件窗口期内看跌英镑结构更为集中。

  欧元兑英镑方面集中度更高,约9%的名义总成交在同一窗口期到期,其中大约四分之三为看跌英镑结构。

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