高盛逆转看空日元立场 上调日元兑美元12个月目标位至150

环球市场播报
Sep 25

  高盛预计,未来12个月日元兑美元将升至150,逆转了7月采取的看跌立场。高盛认为日本国内政策转变以及资金可能回流日本,改善了日元前景。

  高盛策略师Karen Reichgott Fishman将美元/日元汇率12个月预测从165下调至150,同时把3个月和6个月的预测分别下调至158和155。她在报告中表示,这一调整主要反映日本央行加息步伐加快,以及日本资金回流国内资产的可能性上升。

  Fishman表示,更快的加息步伐削弱了扩张性财政政策带来的通胀影响,也减轻了日元的贬值压力。虽然投资组合资金流向发生转变仍只是猜测,但这种可能性上升,使美元/日元汇率面临不对称下行风险。

  此前,美国银行也上调了日元汇率预测,预计年底前将升至1美元兑149日元。

  日元兑美元周五一度升至158.28。日本财务大臣片山皋月表示,美国总统特朗普与日本首相高市早苗会晤时对日元疲软表达了关切。

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