9月30日,尽管航运仍面临持续风险,但中东原油流量几乎已恢复至战前水平。摩根大通表示,相关地区的石油运输正在恢复。“中东石油出口通道正在重新恢复运行。”摩根大通分析师Natasha Kaneva等人在9月29日的一份报告中表示。尽管复苏并不均衡,但对于一个仍处于战争状态的地区而言,这“堪称一项了不起的复苏”。
摩根大通数据显示,原油运输量已回升至每日1750万桶,相当于战前水平的98%;柴油、汽油等成品油流量则达到每日300万桶,相当于战前水平的58%。分析师称,以过去5天的10日均值计算,整体石油流量已恢复至2025年水平的89%。分析师表示,经霍尔木兹海峡的石油流量几乎已恢复至6月底接近每日1300万桶的高位,其中主要由沙特带动。不过,更高的运输量不应被误认为安全状况有所改善,而应被视为行业在持续风险环境下运营能力增强的体现。
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