大摩:下调普拉达(01913)销售预测 目标价降至40港元 料MiuMiu面临挑战

智通财经
Sep 30

智通财经APP获悉,大摩发布研报称,基于中国及美国奢侈品消费数据转弱,下调普拉达(01913)第三季预测,认为普拉达集团旗下品牌难以独善其身;将普拉达目标价由42港元下调至40港元,维持“大市同步”评级。

该行现预测Prada品牌零售销售按固定汇率计算将持平,Miu Miu则下跌3%,集团第三季整体销售同比跌0.5%。该行亦下调第四季预测,因未见需求显著回升的理由,并下调较后年份预测,反映对奢侈品行业中期增长更审慎的看法。

该行指,Miu Miu作为投资普拉达的关键变数,投资者希望找到Miu Miu由高速增长转型至持续增长的证据,但如今品牌正面对严峻环境,因其对中国客户的敞口高于行业平均水平,对美国客户敞口远低,同时对中东客户敞口较高,并面临高基数挑战。

该行预期Miu Miu第三季零售销售按固定汇率下跌3%,意味同店销售(LFL)录得双位数跌幅,将加剧市场对Miu Miu在快速增长后或出现实质销售调整的忧虑。

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