金吾财讯 | 美国劳工部将于周五公布备受瞩目的9月非农就业报告。市场普遍预计，在经历8月份超预期的强劲增长后，9月新增就业岗位将有所放缓，但整体劳动力市场仍将保持稳健，维持“低招聘、低解雇”的稳定运行模式。根据彭博对经济学家的调查中位数预测，美国9月预计新增非农就业岗位8.5万个，相较于8月令人意外的16.2万个明显回落；失业率则预计连续第三个月维持在4.1%的低位。分析认为，9月数据的表象降温在一定程度上受季节性因素影响——8月数据通常包含夏季招聘及教师返岗带来的暂时性激增，从而拉高了基数。前瞻指标显示劳动力市场信号交织但总体平稳。ADP数据显示9月私营部门新增就业9万个高于预期，同时企业裁员计划有所减少。法国巴黎银行与美国银行等机构经济学家指出，尽管目前企业招聘步伐较为谨慎，但多行业的就业增长覆盖面正在扩大，表明美联储此前实施的紧缩政策并未中断招聘势头，美国劳动力市场依然具备韧性。
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