下周美股进入传统强势季节,美联储纪要登场!

格隆汇
Oct 04

下周宏观层面最重要的事件将是周三公布的美联储9月会议纪要。投资者将重点从会议纪要中寻找决策者对于通胀、就业和未来利率路径的判断,特别是下一次加息究竟更可能发生在10月、12月,还是进一步推迟。

下周第三季度财报季将开始升温。百事可乐和达美航空等大型企业将率先公布第三季度业绩,随后大型银行将在再下一周集中登场。根据LSEG IBES数据,市场目前预计标普500成分股第三季度盈利同比增长超过30%。

此外,历史规律看,四季度通常是美股表现最好的时期之一。CFRA数据显示,自1945年以来,标普500第四季度平均上涨4.2%,上涨概率达到85%;中期选举年份第四季度平均涨幅更达到6.4%。

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责任编辑:安东

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