智通财经APP获悉,交银国际发布研报称,预计美国加息周期并未结束,但节奏或有调整,美联储可能10月暂缓加息。报告提到,在9月就业数据公布前,利率期货市场显示10月加息概率不到三成,12月加息是基准情形;数据公布后,10月加息概率进一步降至仅约两成。尽管9月美国非农数据偏弱,但尚不足以令美联储就此结束加息周期。该行认为,美联储大概率继续等待更多数据,尤其是通胀数据公布后再作决策,并维持此前预计美联储年内可能再加息一次的观点,加息时间倾向于12月。
智通财经APP获悉,交银国际发布研报称,预计美国加息周期并未结束,但节奏或有调整,美联储可能10月暂缓加息。报告提到,在9月就业数据公布前,利率期货市场显示10月加息概率不到三成,12月加息是基准情形;数据公布后,10月加息概率进一步降至仅约两成。尽管9月美国非农数据偏弱,但尚不足以令美联储就此结束加息周期。该行认为,美联储大概率继续等待更多数据,尤其是通胀数据公布后再作决策,并维持此前预计美联储年内可能再加息一次的观点,加息时间倾向于12月。
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