内房股全线冲高 融信中国(03301)涨8.54% 机构料财政贴息有望对国庆期间楼市成交形成催化

金吾财讯
Oct 06

金吾财讯 | 内房股全线冲高,融信中国(03301)涨8.54%,远洋集团(03377)涨6.45%,万科企业(02202)涨4.79%,世茂集团(00813)涨4.26%,雅居乐集团(03383)涨5.67%,绿城中国(03900)涨3.64%,龙湖集团(00960)涨3.40%,融创中国(01918)涨3.39%,碧桂园(02007)涨3.33%,中国金茂(00817)涨3.11%。消息面上,2026年9月29日,财政部会同央行、金管局印发《关于实施居民购房贷款贴息政策的通知》。财信证券表示,短期影响而言,政策于10月1日起正式实施,正值传统销售旺季,有望对国庆期间楼市成交形成催化。结合此前市场对贴息政策的强烈预期,政策正式落地后,地产板块或出现“利好兑现”式的短期波动,但基本面改善预期将对估值形成一定支撑。中期影响而言,比政策落地效果更值得关注的,是政策出台隐含的中央对楼市态度的转变。1)中央财政直接下场补贴居民购房,标志着住房政策从“优供给、保交楼”的供给侧发力,延伸至“降成本、促需求”的需求侧发力。2)二手房纳入贴息,意味着政策从“去新房库存”升级为“促整体流通”,存量房主导格局下,疏通置换链条比单纯去化增量更重要。3)未来政策将更注重精准覆盖而非全面刺激,行业总量收缩、结构分化的趋势虽难以逆转,但刚需和改善性需求的合理释放将获得持续的政策支持。

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